It is expected that 4.52 million people in Beijing

2022-08-21
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It is estimated that 4.52 million people in Beijing will move to xiong'an, with a cumulative investment of 2trillion

Abstract: Recently, the CPC Central Committee and the State Council issued a notice and decided to establish xiong'an New Area in Hebei. Xiong'an new area is too dirty to be planned. The scope covers Xiong County, Rongcheng County, Anxin county and some surrounding areas in Hebei Province. It is located in the hinterland of Beijing, Tianjin and Baoding. It has obvious geographical advantages, convenient and unobstructed transportation, excellent ecological environment, strong resource and environmental carrying capacity, low existing development level, abundant development space, and the basic conditions for high starting point and high standard development and construction

a report released by Morgan Stanley on the 7th showed that with the increase in the population of xiong'an new area, the growth rate of national investment is expected to be boosted. The report predicts in China's plastic machinery market that in the next 10 to 20 years, the population of xiong'an new area will reach 3.4 million to 6.7 million, and the total investment can reach 1.2 trillion to 2.4 trillion yuan, which will promote the growth rate of China's investment by 0.15 to 0.63 percentage points every year

Da Mo believes that, unlike the Shenzhen Special Economic Zone and the Pudong New Area of Shanghai, the main function of xiong'an new area is to resettle the population, relieve Beijing's non capital functions, and reduce the pressure of traffic congestion, pollution and overdense population that Beijing is currently facing

according to the report, in order to estimate how much investment is needed to build xiong'an new area, Damo has made assumptions that about 4.52 million people in Beijing need to be relocated to xiong'an new area. In the next 15 years, the immigration plan of xiong'an new area can be completed by 80%, that is, about 3.62 million people will migrate from Beijing to xiong'an. In addition to this external effect, the rapid development of xiong'an new area will result in an annual population growth of 1.5%, about half of Beijing's annual population growth rate (3%)

this means that within 15 years, the population of xiong'an will reach 5.4 million and the overall investment will reach 2trillion yuan. The population density of xiong'an new area will reach 2720 people/km2, which is still lower than that of Pudong in Shanghai (3831 people/km2) and Shenzhen Special Economic Zone (5698 people/km2). This will boost China's investment growth to 0.3% and GDP growth to 0 19%。

Damo said that under optimistic estimates, the Chinese government may complete the relocation of non capital functions (4.52 million people) within 10 years, while the internal population growth rate of xiong'an new area will reach 3%. In this case, the total investment in xiong'an will reach 2.4 trillion yuan, which means that it will boost the growth rate of domestic investment by 0.6% and GDP by 0 39%。

it can effectively control the production quality of conditioning materials. If the process goal is estimated according to a conservative situation, that is, in the next 20 years, only half of the target population size (4.52 million) will migrate to xiong'an new area, and no other population will be increased, then the total investment in xiong'an new area will be reduced to 1.2 trillion yuan, with an annual contribution to domestic investment growth of 0.15% and a contribution to GDP growth of 0 08%。

recently, the CPC Central Committee and the State Council issued a notice deciding to establish xiong'an New Area in Hebei. p>

the planning scope of xiong'an new area covers Xiong County, Rongcheng county and Anxin County in Hebei Province and some surrounding areas. It is located in the hinterland of Beijing, Tianjin and Baoding. It has obvious geographical advantages, convenient and unobstructed transportation, excellent ecological environment, strong resource and environmental carrying capacity, low existing development level, abundant development space, and has the basic conditions for development and construction of high starting point and high standard

the planning and construction of xiong'an new area takes a specific area as the starting area for development first. The starting area is about 100 square kilometers, the medium-term development area is about 200 square kilometers, and the long-term control is generally 1 degree, which is enough for ordinary enterprises to carry out material testing and research. The area of the system is about 2000 square kilometers

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